Track good 4 and rail out 3m from 1100m to 450m & true the remainder.
Race 1: CLASS 1 & MAIDEN PLATE (2100m)
Seemingly a race in two to kick us off on a track that might slip back into soft range if the predicted rain arrives. Improving four-year-old 2. Impunity is the clear value deep into the prep. Has worked home into a place in three runs up to metro BM 65 grade. Drawn to park right behind the speed, he’s ready to win again coming back in distance 23 days between runs, and was preferred here to a tougher race at Wednesday’s Newcastle meeting.
Dangers: Early hot favourite 1. Hiawatha was scratched from that same winnable BM 68 at Newcastle to be saved for this. Comes back from an even tougher grade at Rosehill over further where he ran home OK after being backed from $4.40 into $3.70. Advantaged by the set-weight conditions as well at this lower level three weeks between runs, and blinkers being added makes him the obvious and clear threat. Gap to the rest headed by 8. That’s Outstanding who draws inside and can run into the minor money. Include 5. Le Souci at big odds if you’re playing the First Four.
How to play it: Impunity to win.
Race 2: PROVINCIAL MAIDEN PLATE (1100m)
Lightly raced and progressive 7. The Grey is trained on the track and well-placed to break through second-up. Came off a 12-week break to chase home a smart winner here 16 days ago after being well-supported in betting, and stays at the distance with a more senior jockey taking over.
Dangers: 2. Aged Care ran home only fairly after drifting too far back when fresh for the Kris Lees yard in a handy Super Maiden. Has been given six weeks since and kept ticking over with an easy trial. Stablemate 6. Kingsland, a three-year-old by Dundeel, is a big watch on debut behind two progressive trials bolting in the latest at this track. Include in all exotic plays 1. Escalante, resuming as a gelding with gear changes for the new Nathan Doyle stable behind two forward trials, and at bigger odds 4. Donwon who draws the fence fourth-up with winkers going on.
How to play it: The Grey to win.
Race 3: 4YO & UP MAIDEN HCP (1300m)
This looks an ideal maiden for honest and improving mare 9. Al Flores, who is over the odds deep into the prep, especially if the forecast thunderstorm arrives, being supremely bred for rain-affected going. Placed in her last couple at this track from just off the speed and suited coming back a furlong in trip.
Dangers: Naturally, debutant 2. Shambretta, a four-year-old by Sham Express from the John O’Shea & Tom Charlton yard at Randwick, will be hard to hold out from a low draw. Looked strong winning the most recent of three progressive trials after being challenged in the lead a long way from home. 4. Reasonable is tracking to peak third-up, with blinkers being added. Debutant mare 5. Capilana was even through the line in the second of two trials, while lightly raced 7. Isla Negra can run into the minor money from the inside gate, with winkers added.
How to play it: Al Flores to win.
Race 4: 3YO MAIDEN PLATE (1300m)
Tough and wide race, with a couple of first starters in the mix. That said, progressive 1. Carnegie Hill has the benefit of race experience, and can go one better here after running home late here first-up to miss by a whisker. That was only his third start, and staying at the trip, with a leading jockey taking over, he’s well placed to break through especially if the track is downgraded.
Dangers: 13. Miss Jones, a Deep Field filly on debut for the Richard and Will Freedman stable, caught the eye in consecutive Rosehill trials, and looks primed for a big arrival jumping from the inside barrier. Big watch on well-bred colt 3. First Mission, improving into his third start after chasing gamely at Wyong 19 days ago. 7. Lone Artist resumes for only his second start off two progressive trials. Watch the betting, too, on 8. Rampazetto, resuming as a gelding with blinkers going on behind two quiet trials. Included in trifecta and first four bets locally trained 9. Swift Gun, who has been freshened via a trial, and 10. Tomba, a colt by Hellbent on debut for the Annabel Neasham and Rob Archibald stable, who won the second of two recent trials.
How to play it: Carnegie Hill to win.