In the days after the October 7 massacre, US President Joe Biden rushed to Israel, stood shoulder to shoulder with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, and pledged what sounded like almost unlimited support for Israel’s highly justifiable counterstrike. At this point, however, Israel’s line of credit has almost run out.

Most Western leaders support Israel’s right to self-defence. Its goal of removing the Iran-backed Hamas terrorist group from power in Gaza was not unreasonable after almost two decades of absorbing thousands of rockets and other terrorist attacks. The last straw was the horrendous Hamas invasion during which 1200 people were barbarously murdered and over 240 abducted and taken hostage, including women, children and the elderly.

But the Gaza war has not gone well. Approaching the half-year point, it has killed many thousands of Gazans (along with hundreds of Israeli combatants). More than 130 hostages remain in Gaza, dozens of them believed dead. Hamas remains in charge of the Rafah region in southern Gaza, to which most of the strip’s 2.2 million people have been displaced. Its terrorists continue to emerge from tunnels in other parts of the strip, commandeering aid shipments and causing mayhem. They’re beaten but unbowed.

Netanyahu, reviled around the world and widely distrusted at home, has refused to articulate a day-after plan that might calm the region; Iran’s Houthi proxies in Yemen have upended maritime trade by impeding access to the Suez Canal; anti-Israel and antisemitic sentiments rage around the world. And, critically, in the US, Biden’s re-election chances are undermined by Netanyahu’s provocations.

The war has become a conflict of narratives that surfaced the depth of general antipathy toward Israel in much of the world, including among many Western youth. It has divided US Democrats, pitting Muslims and progressives on one side versus Jews and centrists on the other – becoming a wedge issue in a party that needs its entire coalition together in November. Muslims are crucial in Michigan, a state carried by Biden in 2020 which if flipped could toss the whole election to Donald Trump.

It is clear that Biden needs the war to end, or at least for the images of carnage to stop. He did not sign up for another forever war in the Middle East. Indeed, his team has pulled together a rather impressive package for Israel to tempt it to desist. First, it seeks for a version of the West Bank-based Palestinian Authority, reformed, rejuvenated and improved, to be installed in Gaza. This is exactly what Israel itself had demanded since the 2007 coup by Hamas against the PA, and Hamas would surely otherwise return to take over any vacuum.

It also asks that Israel resumes a two-state negotiation with the Palestinian Authority, because Netanyahu himself agreed to this in the past and Israel needs it to not lose either the Jewish majority or its democratic foundations in the area under its control. Saudi Arabia and perhaps other moderate Sunni Arab countries might then also join the circle of peace with Israel, and set up a mutual strategic umbrella together with the United States and the West as a counterbalance to Iran and its proxies.

Pressure would then grow on Hamas to surrender, or else Israel will be allowed to finish off the group, but this time with international legitimacy restored.