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Posted: 2024-05-29 01:49:43

The annual rate of inflation increased a bit more in April to 3.6 per cent.

The monthly consumer price index (CPI) indicator rose by 0.1 percentage points last month, up from 3.5 per cent in March.

It means the annual rate of inflation has increased for the second month in a row, up from 3.4 per cent in February.

According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), an underlying measure of inflation — called "trimmed mean" inflation — also picked up again in April, from 4 per cent to 4.1 per cent.

"Today's data will be ringing alarm bells down at the RBA," Business Council of Australia chief economist Stephen Walters said.

"This is a terrible start to inflation for the June quarter. Inflation is accelerating on all main measures, not receding as had been hoped, thanks mainly to sticky services prices.

"Further interest rate hikes are unlikely but, after today's upside inflation surprise, no longer can be ruled out," Mr Walters said.

The monthly CPI indicator is not as comprehensive as the ABS's quarterly inflation data because it only updates prices for between 62 per cent and 73 per cent of the consumer price index basket every month, depending on the month.

However, economists say it still provides a reasonable picture of how prices are travelling month to month and the pick-up in inflation last month will put even more pressure on the Reserve Bank.

The April data included up-to-date price information for 62 per cent of the weight of the quarterly CPI.

See the image from the ABS below. 

According to the ABS's methodology, April is categorised as "Month 1." 

April data monthly CPI updated image

Anneke Thompson, the chief economist at CreditorWatch, said interest rates will probably be stuck at peak levels for longer than expected now.

"The fight against inflation is still far from over, with the last stubborn categories — housing, fuel, electricity, health, education and financial and insurance services — proving difficult to get under pricing control," she said.

"Record high population growth is likely a contributing factor here, and the hope from here is that moderating incoming overseas migration helps reduce price increases on these essential services."

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