The dangers of climate change remained clear, just as action on climate change made basic economic sense, particularly for nations such as Australia with a wealth of renewable energy opportunities, he said.
“So I don’t think we are going to see other nations just shrugging their shoulders and walking away,” Bowen said.
Further, while Trump’s election in 2016 shocked the world, this time there has been planning and preparation, said Bowen.
Li Shuo, director of the China Climate Hub at the Asia Society Policy Institute, said Trump’s victory would make Bowen’s job harder.
“I think inevitably the level of finance that we will get in the future will suffer as a result of Trump’s election,” Li said.
He said finance negotiators must secure an agreement not only to increase the amount of climate finance made available but also to address the contentious issue of which nations contribute to the pool. Since global agreements on climate finance were secured in 1992, some countries – such as China – have become richer, and pressure is growing on them to join the donor nations.
In the absence of a powerful US presence in global climate diplomacy, Li said he believed both China and the European Union would step forward to take up a greater role. Australia, which has close ties with Europe and with climate-vulnerable nations such as those in the Pacific and a thawing relationship with China, was in a good position to facilitate such talks, he said.
“That will be [Bowen’s] job. It’s going to be a careful balancing act. It is at least a three-party dance that Australia will need to facilitate,” Li said.
Alexandra Scott, a London-based climate diplomacy strategist, said though Trump’s victory had complicated Bowen’s job, it would be useful experience and exposure for Australia as it bids to co-host the COP (climate summit) talks with its Pacific neighbours in 2026.
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“It is a really tough job, the positions that different countries have put on the table at the moment over the finance goal are very wide apart,” she said.
“But it is the kind of job that the COP presidency needs to play. So it’s a good audition, and it’s good training for picking up a COP31 presidency. I think it’s admirable to see that Australia is willing to take on that kind of challenge.”
COP hosts are selected by groupings of nations within the UN system, and Australia and Turkey both still have their hats in the ring. Many observers believe Australia will be named host, though Bowen would not say if he believed any announcement would be made in Azerbaijan over the coming days.