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Posted: 2021-08-03 22:33:10

China is renewing restrictions and canceling flights as a Covid-19 resurgence in Asia’s top oil consumer sends jitters across the crude market.

West Texas Intermediate crude is down for the third day in a row, falling 0.4 per cent to a two-week low of $US70.30 per barrel. Brent is down 0.2 per cent today, also a two week low, and trading at $US72.29.

A medical worker takes samples during a mass COVID-19 test this week in a residential block in Wuhan, Hubei Province, China.

A medical worker takes samples during a mass COVID-19 test this week in a residential block in Wuhan, Hubei Province, China. Credit:Getty

In China, local governments are conducting mass testing and rushing to close off some cities and townships, while tourists are being turned away from popular sights as authorities seek to halt the fast-spreading Delta variant during the peak summer travel season.

Flights in and out of Beijing have been canceled, with China National Petroleum Corp. estimating jet fuel consumption will be the hardest hit by the new measures.

“This round of infection could potentially wipe out 5 per cent of short-term oil demand,” Wang Lining, a researcher with CNPC’s Economics and Technology Research Institute, said by phone.

The continuing impact on consumption will depend on infection rates and the duration of the resurgence, Wang added.

China has grappled with the odd virus flare-up in the past, but has typically managed to contain the outbreaks, helping to underpin a strong recovery from the pandemic and a broader rebound in oil.

However, Delta has led to a surge in infections across the globe and renewed lockdowns in some regions, most notably in Southeast Asia, which is crimping fuel consumption.

This latest outbreak has reached nearly half of China’s 32 provinces in just two weeks, and while the overall number of infections is still low, the wide spread indicates that the variant is moving quickly. Residents in Beijing have been told to refrain from leaving the city, while people in Nanjing -- the epicenter of the new resurgence -- have been placed under lockdown.

Jiangsu province, of which Nanjing is the capital, and neighboring Zhejiang are major manufacturing centers and account for 10 per cent of Chinese domestic diesel demand, FGE said in a report on Friday.

The industry consultant predicted a “downside risk” to China’s diesel demand in August of as much as 100,000 barrels a day from potential disruptions to cross-regional trucking activity.

On the ASX, the energy sector is out-perfoming today with a gain of 0.7 per cent in a flat market. Santos is down 0.1 per cent, but all the other oil producers are higher. Beach Energy is up 1.7 per cent and Woodside is up 1.2 per cent.

with Bloomberg

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